Wednesday, June 4, 2008

Report: US Senate race in Kentucky "a real race"

From the latest weekly edition of the Evans-Novak Political Report:

"Democrats have been getting excited for a year now over the possibility of knocking off Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R), and a recent poll gives them new hope. Former State Commerce Secretary Bruce Lunsford (D) looks set to at least give McConnell a run for his money.

"A Rasmussen survey of 500 likely voters (with a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4.5%) showed Lunsford leading McConnell 49% to 45%, while the same survey showed McCain way ahead in Kentucky. That poll, however, was just after Lunsford won his primary (giving him a temporary boost), and—according to a Republican operative from Kentucky—it was contradicted by a Republican-commissioned poll at the same time showing a double-digit McConnell lead.

"In truth, McConnell is still the frontrunner, but the early signs suggest this is a real race, which is bad news for the GOP. McConnell makes a welcoming target for Democrats and outside liberal groups, who have begun pouring money and effort into Kentucky. Leaning Republican Retention."

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